I will take prices in the upper ranges if I can get them. I'll defend my stance:
I will use cars as my example.
Back in the day people used to have to PAY to have cars hauled off because they were just not worth anything to anyone to be worth the hassle- except junk yards and pull-a-part type places.
So say we go back to the days of steel being at $80/ton. Let us assume that at that ton rate.. every scrapper in my geographical area says "Forget it" and sells off their trailer. I decide to stay in because it may just keep my plate so full I can't keep up. I may get cars for FREE now, but I may still have to pay say $50-$100 for a car instead of $200-$300.
So I get a 3000 lb vehicle- take it to the yard and get $200 total on the body- I pay $50 for it- I profit $150
If ferrous and
core prices also take a dive because of this pricing drop I will throw out some imaginary numbers:
Cat- Was $100.. now worth $25
Alternator was $6.96.. now worth $1
Copper wiring harness- was worth $1/lb.. now worth .30/lb (20 Lbs) $20 vs $6
AC Pump- was worth $5 bucks- now worth .90 cents
Rims- Were once worth $65.. now worth $25 bucks (I still have to pay $12 to have a set of 4 dismounted because that won't change) so I'd make $13 profit
So all total on this example I make $196 profit.
At current prices paying say $200 for the car.. I'd clear:
$100 Profit on the body
And Over $300 profit total.
I have to value my time.. my time is $ and to take say 6 hours to pull and clean wire from a car at $1/hour would make it not worth my time. A lot of things on the vehicle would no longer be worth the time to pull. I'd probably pull the battery, cut the cat and haul the rest in virtually untouched. I would have more scrap than I knew what to do with if everyone bailed out, but the amount of time and effort It would take to make the same amount of $ I make now- by working twice as long and twice as hard- seems like a fools errand, I would most likely just venture into different business areas that would prove to be worthy of my time.
Lets not forget that if every guy with a trailer hung it up around here- If I'd pay $50 for a car- a junkyard or a pull-a-part place would still pay $100, they can sit on vehicles for months or years and let them get picked over like a rotting carcass in the desert. I cannot compete with them now and I couldn't if prices took a dive into the hole. I spoke with a guy last night on a van.. guy said "Pull-A-Part offered me $580 for this van" I told him I can't compete with them, I just have to find people who don't get their pitch.. I can't beat them at auctions, I can't beat them with the General Public.. I just move onto the next one.
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